Sunday, September 12, 2021

NFL Predictions

 Oh man, almost forgot to post these inevitably incorrect picks!

AFC East: Bills, Patriots*, Dolphins, Jets
AFC North: Browns, Ravens*, Steelers*, Bengals
AFC South: Titans, Colts, Texans, Jaguars
AFC West: Chiefs, Chargers*, Broncos, Raiders

NFC East: Cowboys, Eagles, Football Team, Giants
NFC North: Packers, Bears*, Vikings, Lions
NFC South: Buccaneers, Saints, Falcons, Panthers
NFC West: 49ers, Seahawks*, Rams*, Cardinals

* = wild card teams

AFC Championship Game: Chiefs over Bills


NFC Championship Game: Buccaneers over Packers.  Oh, if you're wondering my take on the whole Aaron Rodgers situation, I think he is 99 percent dead-on with every criticism he has of the Packers organization, and it is amazing to me that this team has gone out of its way to alienate its franchise player.  I'd love to see Rodgers depart after one more Super Bowl win, but I think their window was realistically last year, before the Bucs became fully super-powered.  Gee, I wonder if having a first-round pick who did LITERALLY ANYTHING might have helped in last year's title game.  Oh well!

By the way, the Packers aren't actually making the NFC title game.  Doing literally nothing to improve their defense will (surprise) not make their defense any better, but this will somehow be twisted as Rodgers' fault.  The Bucs will beat the Seahawks.

Super Bowl 56: Chiefs over Buccaneers in the rematch

Thursday, May 20, 2021

All The Playoff Picks Possible

I realize that the playoffs have technically already started, but whatever.  It's not like I couldn't edit this post after the fact and pretend I got everything completely accurate.  

THE STANLEY CUP PLAYOFFS

* Penguins over Islanders in six
* Capitals over Bruins in six
* Hurricanes over Predators in five
* Lightning over Panthers in six
* Maple Leafs over Canadiens in six (gulp)
* Oilers over Jets in seven
* Golden Knights over Wild in seven
* Avalanche over Blues in five

* Penguins over Capitals in six
* Lightning over Hurricanes in seven
* Maple Leafs over Oilers in six (double gulp)
* Avalanche over Golden Knights in seven

* Penguins over Maple Leafs in seven
* Avalanche over Lightning in six

* Avalanche over Penguins in seven

***********


THE NBA PLAYOFFS

* Play-in games: Warriors over Grizzlies, Wizards over Pacers.  Incidentally, these play-in games are a dumb idea.  I know the Lakers/Warriors game was a banger, but let's be real, the ninth and 10th teams in a conference have no business playing for anything.

* Jazz over Warriors in six
* Clippers over Mavericks in six
* Lakers over Suns in seven (and seven is also the amount of close calls that will go Phoenix's way in the series, with the other 85 close calls all going the Lakers' way)
* Nuggets over Trail Blazers in six
* 76ers over Wizards in five
* Hawks over Knicks in seven
* Nets over Celtics in six
* Bucks over Heat in seven

* Clippers over Jazz in seven
* Lakers over Nuggets in six
* 76ers over Hawks in five
* Bucks over Nets in seven

* Lakers over Clippers in five
* Bucks over 76ers in six

* Lakers over Bucks in six.

This is also the first NBA playoffs in years when I have absolutely no idea who's going to win.  I'm going chalk in taking Los Angeles but if LeBron or Davis gets hurt again, any of a half-dozen teams could emerge as champions.

Saturday, March 13, 2021

Bowling!

 Leaping out of posting hiatus since this bowling alley drone video is that darn cool.
 

Friday, January 01, 2021

Happy New Year!

 Ah, a new post.  Keeping the streak of annual blog entries alive! 

Sunday, September 13, 2020

NFL Predictions

Since the season has technically started, time to get these down on paper.  Starred teams are the wild cards, and don't forget, it's seven playoff teams per conference now.

*********

NFC East: Cowboys, Eagles, Washington, Giants

NFC West: Cardinals, Seahawks*, 49ers, Rams

NFC South: Saints, Falcons*, Buccaneers*, Panthers

NFC North: Packers, Vikings, Lions, Bears

AFC East: Patriots, Bills*, Dolphins, Jets

AFC West: Chiefs, Raiders*, Chargers, Broncos

AFC South: Titans, Colts, Texans, Jaguars

AFC North: Ravens, Steelers*, Bengals, Browns


NFC title game: Cardinals over Packers.  No, I haven't lost my mind, I'm just not crazy about just about everything in that conference.

AFC title game: Chiefs over Titans

Super Bowl 55: Kansas City over Arizona

Wednesday, August 26, 2020

Post Of The Month

 Geez, I was looking at my blog traffic numbers over the last few months and they've dropped like a rock!  Whatever could be the matter?!?!

Wednesday, July 01, 2020

Happy Canada Day!

Did you know that our Supreme Court has a mascot?  And that the mascot is a cuddly cartoon owl named Amicus?

Oh Canada.

Thursday, June 25, 2020

Oh Baby I Hear The Puns A' Callin'...

My friend Dave was recently telling me about his purchase of some kitchenware, and how he was looking for a braiser but the store didn't have any.

Me: Did the employee said "Braiser....has left the building"?

Dave:

Sunday, June 21, 2020

What The....?

I've been away for so long that Blogger changed its interface? Does this change affect the actual blog at all? Would anyone have realized this had I not mentioned it? Did anyone realize I was away? This is not my beautiful house. This is not my beautiful wife!

Friday, May 15, 2020

Survivor Ratings: Tony



For as much as Michele felt she had something more to prove* going into the Winners At War season, it could be argued that Tony Vlachos needed a bit more validation to his Survivor reputation.  After all, his initial win in Cagayan got a bit of an asterisk thanks to his ability to load up on immunity idols, plus the fact that just about every break went his way in that season.  Once Tony was the second boot of the Game Changers season, it seemed to underline Tony as a one-trick pony who couldn’t escape the spotlight once people actually knew to target him.

* = which she didn’t, as hindsight has shown that Aubry and Tai weren’t exactly masterminds at this game.

But with a win here, Tony firmly takes his place amongst Survivor’s all-time greats, and he has a valid case as the Survivor GOAT.  It’s kind of fun that he and Sandra have such different skillsets within the game, since it only continues the argument over who is truly the best ever, particularly since the two of them have played head-to-head twice.  Here’s where I include the obvious caveat that it’s almost impossible to say that any particular player can be the undisputed “best ever” at a game that has changed so dramatically and drastically over 40 seasons, especially when that game changes its rules and structure on a near-annual basis.  Maybe the easiest caveat is to say that Sandra is the Queen of the first 20 seasons, whereas Tony is the King of the “Modern Survivor” era.


How He Won: Ironically, Sandra probably should have approached Tony this time just as she did in Game Changers — get him out of the game before he gets on a roll.  People forget that Sandra and Tony were actually originally planning to team up throughout Game Changers before Tony’s spying-induced paranoia led him to turn on Sandra instead, and she quickly turned the tables on him.  This time, Sandra again aligned with Tony, perhaps in something of a “nobody would see this coming” move, or a decision to keep her enemies closer.  Beyond what Sandra did, however, if the free agent alliance of Yul, Nick, Wendell and Sophie had opted to go after the trio of Sandra and Cops R’ Us rather than the so-called “poker alliance” of Kim, Jeremy, and Amber, the season would have played out completely differently.

Since once Tony got some time to maneuver, it was off to the races.  He made a point of being much more low-key than in his previous two seasons, and it seems like his quick ouster in S34 lessened his threat level in the eyes of some of the other players.  (Survivor trivia: coming into this season, Tony had the second-earliest ouster of any past winner, except for Tina going out first in All-Stars.)  He had the bonus of playing alongside his real-life thick-as-thieves friend in Sarah, and Tony was also able to pick up another rock-solid ally in Ben.  That was Tony’s ideal final three, yet he also had a big outer layer of extra allies — at varying points in the game, Denise, Jeremy, Nick, Sophie, Kim, Sandra, and Tyson were on Tony’s side, with those first three thinking they were particularly tight with Tony.

In short, it was a lot like what Tony did in Cagayan.  He had his core group in place, and then slowly picked off the outer layer when necessary, marshalling those outside his group to join him in a blindside to help save themselves.  (The Sophie vote is the best example of this.)  Nick and Jeremy were particularly helpful in this regard, acting as essentially double agents and keeping Tony abreast of whatever tricks Kim or Michele might have planned. 

Somewhat remarkably, Tony didn’t have a single vote against him during the entire game.  He helped himself with four immunity wins, and Sarah/Ben also were rarely targeted since I got the impression that a lot of the cast were eyeing them as FTC goats.  After all these years of Survivor, you still rarely see players near the endgame target the most obvious goats, which is an underrated brilliant move to shake things up — to wit, Cirie’s legendary 3-2-1 vote to eliminate Courtney in S12).


Skillset:
So after discussing the wisdom of figuring out a core group and then using an outer layer of allies….forget all of it, since Tony ended up winning despite not even getting to the F3 with Sarah or Ben.  In fact, it was almost a nightmare scenario on paper, because he found himself next to the well-liked Michele who didn’t betray anyone, and to Edge Of Extinction boss Natalie, who had the singular “worst to first” narrative going for her.  And yet even against those two rather than her preferred choices, Tony still won the jury vote in a 12-4 landslide.

(Obligatory rant: holy crap did it bother me that the Edge twist returned, especially in a season that ostensibly was supposed to determine the “best winner ever.”  I realize that a lot of the cast wouldn’t have agreed to return without the EoE safety net, but Natalie came within eight votes of creating another season where everyone essentially lost.  I would’ve been more than pleased to see Natalie as a two-time winner if she’d stayed in the game throughout, but I was predisposed to root against the possibility of another Edge winner, no matter who it was.  I really, really hope Survivor never does the Edge again, since it undermines everything about the one-vote survival premise.  While they’re at it, they can lose the fire tokens too, though I suspect those will be in the game for a long time to come.)

Tony’s biggest asset, much more than his ability to find idols or his newfound challenge prowess, is his general likability.  Everyone seems to get along with the guy, and even his so-called “paranoid” antics are looked upon with amusement rather than annoyance.  Look at how hard everyone laughed at FTC when Tony was telling them about his spy nest.  The reason he’s able to skillfully pull off these blindsides is that everyone trusts him until it’s too late, and then when it happens, nobody is ultimately too upset about it. 

To his credit, Tony’s no-hard-feelings vibe isn’t an act — when he was booted in Game Changers, his postgame comments didn’t carry an ounce of bitterness, and he tipped his cap to Sandra for eliminating him.  Unlike other all-returnees seasons, it didn’t seem like there was much sourness during Winners At War, probably in part because everyone had already won the game and wasn’t approaching it with any desperation.  This was a perfect environment for Tony to thrive, and thrive he did.


Could He Do It Again?: Now here’s where I can have to say no, since if you find yourself playing Survivor against Tony Vlachos and don’t try to eliminate him ASAP, you are a prize fool.  Not sure if he’d want to come back for a third time for another all-winners go-around or maybe some kind of Tony vs. Sandra gimmick season……or, to be frank, if there will be any Survivor seasons at all in the future given how the show can’t be produced in anything close to its current form due to the pandemic. 

If this is the last Survivor season we see for years (or even ever), at least it went out on something of a natural endpoint.  Twenty former winners, many of the game’s best-ever players, and a worthy victor in Tony make Winners At War to be a decent enough “series finale.”